메뉴 건너뛰기

XEDITION

등업게시판

By David Randall and Lewis Krauskopf

NEW YORK, June 14 (Reuters) - Elevated U.S. interest rates are pressuring the U.S. retail sector, where shares of many companies have been dented by months of tight monetary policy while a select few have soared.

The S&P 500 Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail index is up nearly 14% this year, roughly keeping pace with the S&P 500´s year-to-date gain. Much of the sector´s strength, however, has been concentrated in a small group of stocks, including heavyweight Amazon.com, which is up nearly 21% this year.

Meanwhile, shares of companies focused on lower-income consumers have struggled, in-part because buyers in that segment have been more affected by elevated interest rates, analysts said. Among the biggest laggards are shares of Dollar Tree , which are down nearly 27% year-to-date and Dollar General, which have fallen nearly 9%.

The retail sector is one of several areas of the economy - in addition to real estate and consumer staples - that have been pressured by elevated rates. The Federal Reserve earlier this week reiterated that it needs to see more evidence of cooling inflation before lowering borrowing costs.

"The lower to mid-income segment is getting squeezed because of gas prices and groceries," said Greg Halter, director of research at Carnegie Investment Counsel. "They feel bad even though the economy is doing well."

The consumer will be in focus next week when the U.S. reports retail sales data on Tuesday. Analysts polled by Reuters expect retail sales to have grown by 0.2% in May. Weaker-than-expected results - following data earlier this week showing encouraging progress on inflation - could bolster the case for the Fed to ease rates sooner rather than later.

Futures markets have reflected increased investor expectations of a September rate cut, though the Fed projected it will only lower borrowing costs in December.

The divergent performance of retail stocks has pushed investors to focus on companies whose consumers can continue to withstand higher interest rates or porno those that offer discounts on name-brand household items like clothing or groceries, such as warehouse club company Costco Wholesale.

Halter´s fund has been buying shares of companies such as Walmart, Costco, and TJX Companies whose business models emphasize value for the consumer. Their shares are up 28%, 29% and 16% respectively.

Robert Pavlik, senior portfolio manager at Dakota Wealth Management, said he has owned Costco and TJX Companies, pointing to their strong management and inventory controls.

"I think inflation will remain but moderate and consumers will still look to get the most out of their dollars," he said.

Bokeh Capital Partners owns shares of Urban Outfitters , which are up over 20% this year. Kim Forrest, Bokeh's chief investment officer, said Urban Outfitters' strength as a fashion merchandiser has helped the company weather the inflationary environment, adding "people will sacrifice to look good."

Josh Cummings, a portfolio manager at Janus Henderson Investors, believes areas such as online shopping will continue to thrive even if interest rates stay elevated.

He has been targeting companies such as Carvana, whose shares have nearly doubled this year, and DoorDash , whose shares are up around 13%.

"We're not terribly excited about the consumer sector overall, but we do think we are in the early innings of some of these growth stories," he said. (Reporting by David Randall, Editing by Nick Zieminski)

번호 제목 글쓴이 날짜 조회 수
공지 esky에 오신걸 환영합니다. 관리자 2024.12.09 33
2343 Proven Ways To Enhance Windows Vista's Performance MichalBennett75059 2025.07.11 4
2342 Understanding Payday Loans With A Credit Score Of 400: Guaranteed Approval And No Telecheck WillianSlama0106 2025.07.11 2
2341 Understanding Gold IRA Rollovers: A Comprehensive Examine MarionZ12093192861 2025.07.11 2
2340 Observational Research On The Acquisition Of Modafinil Without Prescription AJNJesse25887374674 2025.07.11 2
2339 Understanding Gold IRA Reviews: A Complete Case Study BritneyLevey3758685 2025.07.11 2
2338 What Every Webmaster Needs To Know About Web Hosting Plan Features AntonioHarrington45 2025.07.11 50
2337 The Best Gold IRA Accounts: A Comprehensive Information For Traders BrittneySanders 2025.07.11 2
2336 The Rise Of IRA Gold Investing: A Safe Haven Amid Financial Uncertainty ErnaStern8894996401 2025.07.11 2
2335 Find Out How To Buy Real Gold Online: A Comprehensive Information LaceyToothman22 2025.07.11 2
2334 Iron Security Doors Add Beauty And Value For Any Home IndianaR187299879 2025.07.11 24
2333 188BET – Thiên Đường Cá Cược Trực Tuyến MargaretaMacnaghten5 2025.07.11 0
2332 The Economics Of Private Plane Membership: Analyzing Costs And Advantages TonyaBurrow144854519 2025.07.11 2
2331 Investing In Gold IRA: A Comprehensive Case Study PeterMelancon467622 2025.07.11 2
2330 10 Sites To Help You Become An Expert In Remodel Budget... SheilaParris2880 2025.07.11 0
2329 Prevent Identity Theft - Discover From The Stories BartMcneal479376400 2025.07.11 4
2328 The Rising Cost Of Private Plane Memberships: A Luxurious In Reach For Few SilasMcGhee6089574 2025.07.11 2
2327 What Are Some Good Ideas For Videos For Your Fathers Birthday? RemonaPainter0929081 2025.07.11 0
2326 Unlocking Wealth: The Evolution Of Gold IRA Investments In 2023 FletcherYagan588936 2025.07.11 2
2325 Reorganize Your Garage - Decluttering MelinaCutler622070 2025.07.11 48
2324 Ahoy Mates - Boating Safety And Safety Is Just As Important As Personal Security TyroneBirks1018935 2025.07.11 4
위로