메뉴 건너뛰기

XEDITION

등업게시판

By David Randall and Lewis Krauskopf

NEW YORK, June 14 (Reuters) - Elevated U.S. interest rates are pressuring the U.S. retail sector, where shares of many companies have been dented by months of tight monetary policy while a select few have soared.

The S&P 500 Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail index is up nearly 14% this year, roughly keeping pace with the S&P 500´s year-to-date gain. Much of the sector´s strength, however, has been concentrated in a small group of stocks, drugs including heavyweight Amazon.com, which is up nearly 21% this year.

Meanwhile, shares of companies focused on lower-income consumers have struggled, in-part because buyers in that segment have been more affected by elevated interest rates, analysts said. Among the biggest laggards are shares of Dollar Tree , which are down nearly 27% year-to-date and Dollar General, which have fallen nearly 9%.

The retail sector is one of several areas of the economy - in addition to real estate and consumer staples - that have been pressured by elevated rates. The Federal Reserve earlier this week reiterated that it needs to see more evidence of cooling inflation before lowering borrowing costs.

"The lower to mid-income segment is getting squeezed because of gas prices and groceries," said Greg Halter, director of research at Carnegie Investment Counsel. "They feel bad even though the economy is doing well."

The consumer will be in focus next week when the U.S. reports retail sales data on Tuesday. Analysts polled by Reuters expect retail sales to have grown by 0.2% in May. Weaker-than-expected results - following data earlier this week showing encouraging progress on inflation - could bolster the case for the Fed to ease rates sooner rather than later.

Futures markets have reflected increased investor expectations of a September rate cut, though the Fed projected it will only lower borrowing costs in December.

The divergent performance of retail stocks has pushed investors to focus on companies whose consumers can continue to withstand higher interest rates or those that offer discounts on name-brand household items like clothing or groceries, such as warehouse club company Costco Wholesale.

Halter´s fund has been buying shares of companies such as Walmart, Costco, and TJX Companies whose business models emphasize value for the consumer. Their shares are up 28%, 29% and 16% respectively.

Robert Pavlik, senior portfolio manager at Dakota Wealth Management, said he has owned Costco and TJX Companies, pointing to their strong management and inventory controls.

"I think inflation will remain but moderate and consumers will still look to get the most out of their dollars," he said.

Bokeh Capital Partners owns shares of Urban Outfitters , which are up over 20% this year. Kim Forrest, Bokeh's chief investment officer, said Urban Outfitters' strength as a fashion merchandiser has helped the company weather the inflationary environment, adding "people will sacrifice to look good."

Josh Cummings, a portfolio manager at Janus Henderson Investors, believes areas such as online shopping will continue to thrive even if interest rates stay elevated.

He has been targeting companies such as Carvana, whose shares have nearly doubled this year, and DoorDash , whose shares are up around 13%.

"We're not terribly excited about the consumer sector overall, but we do think we are in the early innings of some of these growth stories," he said. (Reporting by David Randall, Editing by Nick Zieminski)

번호 제목 글쓴이 날짜 조회 수
공지 esky에 오신걸 환영합니다. 관리자 2024.12.09 33
3098 Stress Management Exercises - Some Effective Ideas Augustus31C5181944 2025.07.11 0
3097 Answers About Web Browsers SelenaCarper0686 2025.07.11 0
3096 Answers About Pertanyaan Dalam Bahasa Indonesia EulaliaTweddle51 2025.07.11 0
3095 Prevent Identification Theft - Learn From The Stories Hershel41173923085 2025.07.11 2
3094 The Last Resort Couples Act Out Their Sex Lives With Bizarre Puppets KaleyWalling807565 2025.07.11 0
3093 Married Baseball Player With 'crazy' Name Offered $250k Porn Deal Chi14P544811938812 2025.07.11 0
3092 When Was La Tante Claire Created? MosheH1664440869 2025.07.11 0
3091 Answers About Human Anatomy And Physiology PhillipFison16318844 2025.07.11 0
3090 Protect Your Identity When Staying At Hotels Rodrigo0820771812664 2025.07.11 3
3089 Answers About Movie Ratings EttaVrp670883662767 2025.07.11 0
3088 What Are The Ratings And Certificates For Tante Tilly - 1986? BettyChewning13788 2025.07.11 0
3087 Homeowners Insurance Suggestions - Take A Daring Stride And Insure Your Home KitMeyer773810636273 2025.07.11 3
3086 Is Child Porn Legal Anywhere In The World? MicahMcCallum98 2025.07.11 0
3085 Answers About Video Editing EricaWawn81382053009 2025.07.11 0
3084 Elon Musk Memes Sweep Internet Amid Shock Departure From DOGE Betty82V46908689231 2025.07.11 0
3083 US STOCKS-Wall St Edges Up With Earnings, Rate-cut Expectations In... ErmaBarnet3343207 2025.07.11 0
3082 188BET – Thiên Đường Cá Cược Trực Tuyến StepanieHolden5 2025.07.11 0
3081 What Are Steps To Take To Prevent Becoming A Victim Of A Phishing Scam? MalcolmPumpkin8082 2025.07.11 0
3080 Married At First Sight Australia's Mick Gould Becomes A SEX SYMBOL JensSatterwhite9 2025.07.11 0
3079 Little People, Big World's Matt Roloff Hints Guests Filmed Obscenities KinaAguirre7433016 2025.07.11 0
위로