메뉴 건너뛰기

XEDITION

등업게시판

By David Randall and Lewis Krauskopf

NEW YORK, June 14 (Reuters) - Elevated U.S. interest rates are pressuring the U.S. retail sector, where shares of many companies have been dented by months of tight monetary policy while a select few have soared.

The S&P 500 Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail index is up nearly 14% this year, roughly keeping pace with the S&P 500´s year-to-date gain. Much of the sector´s strength, however, has been concentrated in a small group of stocks, drugs including heavyweight Amazon.com, which is up nearly 21% this year.

Meanwhile, shares of companies focused on lower-income consumers have struggled, in-part because buyers in that segment have been more affected by elevated interest rates, analysts said. Among the biggest laggards are shares of Dollar Tree , which are down nearly 27% year-to-date and Dollar General, which have fallen nearly 9%.

The retail sector is one of several areas of the economy - in addition to real estate and consumer staples - that have been pressured by elevated rates. The Federal Reserve earlier this week reiterated that it needs to see more evidence of cooling inflation before lowering borrowing costs.

"The lower to mid-income segment is getting squeezed because of gas prices and groceries," said Greg Halter, director of research at Carnegie Investment Counsel. "They feel bad even though the economy is doing well."

The consumer will be in focus next week when the U.S. reports retail sales data on Tuesday. Analysts polled by Reuters expect retail sales to have grown by 0.2% in May. Weaker-than-expected results - following data earlier this week showing encouraging progress on inflation - could bolster the case for the Fed to ease rates sooner rather than later.

Futures markets have reflected increased investor expectations of a September rate cut, though the Fed projected it will only lower borrowing costs in December.

The divergent performance of retail stocks has pushed investors to focus on companies whose consumers can continue to withstand higher interest rates or those that offer discounts on name-brand household items like clothing or groceries, such as warehouse club company Costco Wholesale.

Halter´s fund has been buying shares of companies such as Walmart, Costco, and TJX Companies whose business models emphasize value for the consumer. Their shares are up 28%, 29% and 16% respectively.

Robert Pavlik, senior portfolio manager at Dakota Wealth Management, said he has owned Costco and TJX Companies, pointing to their strong management and inventory controls.

"I think inflation will remain but moderate and consumers will still look to get the most out of their dollars," he said.

Bokeh Capital Partners owns shares of Urban Outfitters , which are up over 20% this year. Kim Forrest, Bokeh's chief investment officer, said Urban Outfitters' strength as a fashion merchandiser has helped the company weather the inflationary environment, adding "people will sacrifice to look good."

Josh Cummings, a portfolio manager at Janus Henderson Investors, believes areas such as online shopping will continue to thrive even if interest rates stay elevated.

He has been targeting companies such as Carvana, whose shares have nearly doubled this year, and DoorDash , whose shares are up around 13%.

"We're not terribly excited about the consumer sector overall, but we do think we are in the early innings of some of these growth stories," he said. (Reporting by David Randall, Editing by Nick Zieminski)

번호 제목 글쓴이 날짜 조회 수
공지 esky에 오신걸 환영합니다. 관리자 2024.12.09 34
4390 Who Is Paddy O'Brian From Menatplay And EnglishLads? SuzannaHomer447 2025.07.13 0
4389 Online Slot Casino RevaLampungmeiua895 2025.07.13 0
4388 Answers About Microsoft Windows MaynardEarle28753 2025.07.13 0
4387 No. 19 LSU Tries To Stay Unbeaten Vs. High-scoring Louisiana Tech DarlaGipson433583 2025.07.13 0
4386 Scam By Shandong Zhangqiu Blower Co Ltd? KandyFranki53182 2025.07.13 0
4385 Understanding Online Gambling Laws Lavern5007185528 2025.07.13 0
4384 Why Did Maryland Government Officials Tear Up The Railways From Philadelphia To Baltimore? IvaHungerford07 2025.07.13 0
4383 Answers About Q&A RochellLyttle28380 2025.07.12 0
4382 Answers About History, Politics & Society ScarlettPenman2886 2025.07.12 0
4381 Rich Men Dating Websites: A New Era Of Elite Connections DoyleDymock71879 2025.07.12 2
4380 Lauryn Hill Breaks Silence On Performing To Almost EMPTY Stadium AndrewZelaya232873 2025.07.12 0
4379 Winning At Blackjack: An Introduction To Strategy DoraMckeever29838 2025.07.12 0
4378 Safe And Responsible Casino Gaming Practices NITConnor2333620 2025.07.12 0
4377 Meaning Of Video Con? NoeCourtney8910 2025.07.12 0
4376 Who Is Kokomthena? ChristieEtx3230 2025.07.12 0
4375 Answers About Companies Joanne4049862578485 2025.07.12 0
4374 Answers About Web Browsers RosemarieTilley95977 2025.07.12 0
4373 Answers About Relationships ScarlettPate67726 2025.07.12 0
4372 Answers About Credit And Debit Cards NadineSheets04240488 2025.07.12 0
4371 The Hidden Psychology Behind Casino Architecture CandidaWaugh6373118 2025.07.12 0
위로